Is it a good thing for the Eagles to make the playoffs? I am against tanking to get a high draft pick, but
In 1998 under Ray Rhodes the Birds went 3-13. Andy Reid took over before the 1999 season. The Eagles were 3-11 heading into their last 2 games of 1999 and they won both to finish 5-11.
This was good and helped the team make the playoffs for the first time under Reid the next season. They were young, learning a new system and believing that they could win in the NFL.
There were people that said what was the point. Why didn’t they lose those games to get a higher draft pick?
They needed to believe they could win and by finishing off the season winning their last 2 games, it helped in the belief of winning. This belief was the first spark leading to the pickle game vs Dallas, that kicked off the new millenium.
The Eagles are 3-6-1. That’s a real 3-6- too. It’s not strictly a quarterback issue. If Wentz played had better or someone else was there, thay wouldn’t be 7-2.
If I said this record comes in an awful division, that would be an understatement. Two of the three wins come again division rivals who are just as bad.
Imagine if they were in a great division.
2nd Tier at best
The Eagles healthy are a 2nd tier NFC team at best. What I mean is they aren’t on par with the very best.
An example: Andy Reid during the string of 4 straight NFC championship games always got to the title game. Why? It’s because when he faced the wildcard winner he had the better, more complete team.
He played almost vanilla, exploited the opponents weaknesses and made sure to protect the ball. Whether the Bears, Falcons, or Vikings it didnt matter. The score wasn’t crazy but the game was never in doubt.
The Eagles if they made the playoffs are that opponent Andy faced. Except what he did in the Divisional Round would probably be done in the Wildcard game like it was by Seattle last year.
Won’t accept that
Some Eagles fans won’t accept that. That’s fine. Tell yourself I know nothing and continue on with your day. The Philly media makes every team out to be more than they are unless their the worst or just happen to be one of the best.
Myles Garrett didn’t even play against the Eagles. Garrett is probably the best pass rusher in the NFL right now. He would have changed the game.
The Good News
The good news is the Eagles aren’t that far away if they can stay healthy in the future. I believe they need a good safety, more speed at the WR position, some help on the offensive line, and an overhaul to the linebackers.
Before you say “but when healthy its one of if not the best O-Line in the game”.
I agree but some guys aren’t as young and a couple have flirted with retirement already. I’m not saying spend a high pick just be prepared. The other things I mentioned are weaknesses, the line when healthy isn’t.
The point I’m making
The point I’m making is I hope the Eagles don’t make the playoffs this season. If they do they will be drafting 21st, lower if they happen to win one game before being dismantled.
If the Eagles aren’t the NFC East team that gets embarrassed in the postseason, they are most likely drafting between 5-10. Who knows maybe even 4th. That’s in each round.
We don’t have a 4th round pick but have our top 3 picks for the 2021 NFL Draft. This could be what the Eagles need. I don’t need to see them make the playoffs because there chances are zero.
Same odds the Phillies had. The baseball club of course had no shot because of the bullpen or lack of one. The last thing in todays MLB you can be without.
I’m not saying they should tank I don’t think they’ll have to the next 4 games are against Seahawks, Packers, Saints, and Cardinals. Let’s see what happens there. Then figure out the strategy for the final 2 division games,
All the fans who want Jalen Hurts to take over for Carson, have you seen him play in college?
I did! For years almost weekly.
Jalen Hurts can run but he’s not that fast. He only runs a 4.6 and that’s not one of those he’s faster in game looks. He is a very good NFL back-up at best in my opinion.
Nick Saban and the coaching staff were foaming at the mouth to replace him with Tua, and did so in the National Championship game when Bama was well behind.
In the 2nd half, Tua sparked an amazing comeback as Bama defeated Georgia for the title.
I’m just saying some of you out there, who haven’t really seen Hurts play but because of where he got drafted, you think he’s something he isn’t.
Just letting you know “He Isn’t”.
I’ll put it like this if you have a great QB and he goes down in training camp, I don’t think many coaches will really feel comfortable with Hurts as the starter.
For over a week now their have been many Sixers trade rumors swirling in the media and throughout social media. Is this nonsense and foolish conjection leading to false speculation?
The writers and talking heads covering the NBA, don’t have enough gripping subject matter to talk about or report on at this time. Thats obvious by the stupidity. What I don’t know is how many of these experts know what they’re reporting is false?
Would the media create these rumors just because they need that juicy scoop to talk or write about? Could they not know any better, just bumping their gums aimlessly?
The NBA cap has a threshold, this is the number that if surpassed by a team puts that team into the luxury tax. In 2020-21 the cap threshold will be just over $132M. Surpassing this number means you have to pay the league tax.
For passing the threshold and entering the tax there are a bunch of penalties. I’m not going to get into all of them. Hell, I don’t know all of them.
One penalty that might become noticable in 2021 is Philly won’t have the near $10M annual mid-level exception. Instead they will only have the taxers under 6M option giving 3 years instead of four. The Sixers after that can only sign league minimum contracts and their draft picks.
If a team passes the threshold of $132M, they risk going above the apron of the cap. The Apron is set at about $6M over the threshold. $138M for 2020-21.
The Sixers payroll is over &148M right now without a complete roster.
Teams re-signing their own players under Bird rights is the easiest way to surpass the apron. I’m not saying when a players Bird rights come up that the cap doesn’t matter. That’s basically what it amounts to though.
The NBA wants players to re-sign with their teams. The league makes it so if players in free-agency leave their team they will get less money.
Steph Curry was the highest paid player last year. He will be again in 2021. The Warriors were able to give him around $50M more than any other team would have been able to give him.
Here’s the thing about trades past the Apron
Teams above the apron before a trade cannot receive a player unless the trade leaves the team below the apron.
Meaning the Sixers, who are $11M past the luxury tax apron, can’t make any trades unless when the trade is completed they are under the apron.
So prior to the trade the Sixers are over $148M before the draft. They have to be at around $138M after any trade they make. If they are not, the trade cannot be completed.
There have been many rumors. Some of these have been getting alot of thread. Here is a couple of examples.
James Harden: Harden for Simmons can’t happen. The defenseless 32 yr. old guard makes more money than Ben. If they were being paid the same, Philly would have to be under the apron of $138M. This trade would put them around $157M
Chris Paul: Chris Paul makes more than Harden. So same as before but even higher payroll.
Both former top overall draft picks have a defensive game that allows them to cover many positions. Ben can push the action and has the vision of a point guard. LeBron was the first player with this skillset and Ben is the 2nd.
James Harden will never win a title as a superstar, unless he joins a super team. No superstar who isn’t a good defender ever led a team to a championship. Don’t give me some faulty stat either about Harden being a good defender. My eyes tell a different story.
Seth Curry, not a misprint, Steph’s little brother, blew past James Harden 3 times in the first 5 minutes of a game in the bubble. It’s not that Harden didn’t stay with him three different times.
Not at all. It was like Allen Iverson type of shit, 2001. Curry was laying it in before Harden moved. He was glued to the top of the key. He barely turned his head to see it happen in man defense. 3 times.
Chris Paul is 35 years old that’s all I’m saying about that. A players prime is roughly from 27-32.
Like the Knicks
If the Sixers trade Ben Simmons and he learns to shoot, it is the worst trade in NBA history. The negatives outweigh the positives. Even if you could make these trades and Philly is a better team for it in the short term, they’re not better to the extent that they’re title contenders.
Philadelphia has players who’s salaries are in conflict with their talent. You can’t give players years and money that exceed what they are in actuality on the court. The Knicks did this and it’s the reason they have been irrelevant for the past 20 years.
His decisions were just that. Elton had a young team with movable pieces and draft picks. When Tobias Harris and Jimmy Butler were acquired alot of those assets were used. The 76ers still would have had 2 superstars and alot of cap room.
The media and fans were talking championship after falling to the Raptors, who went on to win the title.
Instead of waiting until a proper free-agent with elite skills became available in the next 2-3 years, Brand didn’t want to have to deal with the fanbase and media saying “WTF, we need talent”!
Philadelphia was a team that in 2019 wasn’t a great shooting team and they lost their 2 best shooters in Jimmy Buckets and J.J Reddick.
Below is a list of the top 40 paid players for the 2020-21 season. Ben Simmons isn’t on this list because his salary isn’t based on a set number but rather a percentage of the cap. He will be the 2nd highest 76ers player this upcoming season.
The media and fans have said or written that Tobias Harris wasn’t elite last season. No, he wasn’t. Not because he had a bad season.
Harris wasn’t elite last year because Tobias Harris is not an elite player. He will never be an All-star but he is getting paid like a 1st ballot HOFer. He is a good player. When the Sixers acquired him he was making $18M.
Tobias averages around 17-20 ppg. That’s what you’re getting from him. You won’t get much else. There isn’t a another level for Tobias to reach. This is who he is and he will never be better than he is right now.
So why did Elton Brand sign him to a 5yr. $180M contract? My thoughts on this are that it doesn’t matter because it’s obvious Brand can’t evaluate talent or he would’ve known what Harris is and will continue to be in the future. Exactly who he is now.
There is no upside to Harris. He will take up 23% of the cap for the Sixers in 2020-21. Philly has a roster where the top 4 players take up most of the payroll. On most other teams, Tobias’ percentage of the payroll would be considerably higher.
If the 100% guaranteed contract of Harris doesn’t seem so bad, look below it’s a list of the upcoming seasons highest paid players. Tobias is 10th in the entire league.
Now look at the top of the list and understand this is how Harris’ contract will continue to breakdown.
The Death Sentence
I refer to the 4 days in which Elton Brand gave contracts to Tobias Harris and Al Horford as The Death Sentence. Giving these 2 players, neither who was ever a truly elite NBA player $297M combined is unfathomable. The money is all guaranteed except $12M on Horford’s last year in 2023.
Al Horford was an all-star multiple times but was never a difference maker. In his prime when he left Atlanta for the Boston Celtics, the Hawks lost 5 more games and Boston won 5 more games than the previous season.
Each team was eliminated in the same playoff round as the year before.
What would you do
Many talk about trading Harris’ contact like it is movable. Pretend you are a GM, you see how much money Tobias is making, would you take it on under any circumstance?
I wouldn’t! It means you can’t in essence compete for a title. If Tobias had a year left on his deal and the Sixers had a lottery pick, a rebuilding team might take on the salary in exchange for the pick.
It would be “we will take the contract if you give us the pick”. This isn’t the reality though. The contract is for 4 more years and it will increse to over $40M by 2024.
I wouldn’t want Buddy Hield’s contract. He was seen as a bad pick. Hield has improved and become a good player but is one demensional.
The Sacramento guard is a guy who stands at the 3 point line throwing 3’s at the net. That’s fine, its something the Sixers are in desperate need of. Hield is making $23.5M a year on average for his current deal.
Normally I would say you can get a player to do what Hield does way cheaper but taking in the added value of unloading the Horford contract, I’d do this trade.
I’m not sure why Sacramento would do it but I’d do it because the money is being spent regardless. Buddy’s deal is for an extra year but I could live with that.
What the NBA wanted
This is what the NBA wanted when it set up the cap like this. For teams that spent recklessly the league wanted to make it nearly impossible for those teams to be able to crawl out of their situation.
The Sixers will be seen as repeat offenders in 2022 and even harsher penalties will be enforced upon them, unless they can get under the apron.
The Sixers payroll will be the same next season. They will lose Richardson because he is not a Bird rights player. The Sixers will not be able to resign him. That $10M will come off the payroll.
How is Elton Brand still employed when he put his franchise in this situation? One created not by signing superstars that got injured or started to decline towards the end of their deal like Roy Halliday did for the Phillies, after a couple brilliant years.
Elton Brand signed a good player that will never be an All-Star and a declining player superstar contracts.
The only team that has this tax problem other than the Sixers is the G.S Warriors. They have 3 titles to use as an explanation. Elton Brand what is your excuse?