Will Joel Embiid ever live up to his potential as the next championship gathering future first ballot hall of famer that he unquestionably has the talent and demeanor to become. Is he the next Shaq, the next Olajuwon or is he the next Greg Oden, Sam Bowie, or Bynum?
Just to let everyone reading this know, I am a Philly fan and I love my Sixers. During the 2014 draft, when the 76er management drafted Joel with the 3rd pick, I was despondent because no 7 foot big has ever gone through serious injuries then came back healthy.
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The ones who finally get healthy it was after their athleticism had left them and they were only a shell of the player who previously held all the promise of an NBA superstar. Players like Sam Bowie who if you ever saw him in college or during his rookie year was raw, athletic, an imposing giant jumping out of the gym.
This after a serious tibia injury sidelined him for two full seasons at Kentucky. During Bowie’s rookie season in 1984-85, Sam played 76 games plus another 9 playoff games. The next season as he was going up for a board he broke his left tibia again. When he came back the next season 5 games in he went up for a shot and when he came down he had fractured his right tibia this time. Once his athleticism was depleted he had a few pretty productive seasons in the early 90’s but mainly as a backup.
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Bill Walton was one of the greatest, most talented centers ever. As a pro he was almost never healthy. He’d play half a season, then miss the next season entirely. In 1978 Walton played 58 games and led Portland to an NBA title. The next four seasons Bill only played 14 total games. All 14 of these games came in the 1979-80 season. Three years out of four he didn’t play a single game.
The reason I was so despondent at the actuality of Philly drafting Embiid was because a 7’0 who has had serious injuries to the foot, back, or knee has never recovered to stay healthy for any serious amount of time.
Guys like Brad Daugherty and Yao Ming had multiple all star seasons before their injuries started. Ralph Sampson saw four straight all star appearances. Sampson played three full seasons but he only played 43 games the last year he was an all star in 1987. He was never healthy again.
Andrew Bynum faced injury year after year until his career ended in his mid twenties. Greg Oden was drafted ahead of Kevin Durant but basically never got out of the starting gate. Arvydas Sabonis went through similar trials before coming to the league.
Not Anyone-No one ever
So back to the beginning of the story now. No one, not even once, nobody ever has returned and remained unbroken. It’s my opinion it isn’t anything that’s wrong with the guys I’ve mentioned. I don’t think a 7 footer’s body especially the athletic ones are capable of that kind of stress on their bodies.
The ones who do stay healthy, they are the anomaly. Joel Embiid I don’t think will be any different. Maybe he can pull off a Walton before it all goes to hell but that’s based on time, circumstance and just plain luck. Time, luck, and a Ben Simmons Jay. Why would he stay healthy? His injuries came faster than anyone else that I’ve mentioned!
A Leading man?
He couldn’t even complete a full collegiate season before falling apart at Kansas. Embiid played 28 games that’s just about a quarter of an NBA season.The stress on his body saw Joel sit out all of the 2015 and 2016 NBA seasons. In 2017 Embiid played 31 games. Followed up by almost 65 each in the last 2 seasons.
Now with injury rumors and concerns entering the 2019 NBA playoffs, how long will it take Philadelphia to recognize that their process is really leading to another M. Night shymalon sequel. Set in Philadelphia with Embiid reprising the role of Mister Glass.
When this happens no one should blame him, he was injured coming into the NBA and history shows what it shows. Blame the management team who was there when he was drafted for not knowing the history of the big man.